5a3ae393a799aa4692ad5f3ef89ca2d1 natcom_a2107m3v8a14884.pdf a15165452973a626eeeaac9fc9e305babafbed04 natcom_a2107m3v8a14884.pdf 3a32cda229d4dc5bca77194a313f0cec85609f576c5add10ec7de5a10c7ccc7a natcom_a2107m3v8a14884.pdf Title: A coupled human-Earth model perspective on long-term trends in the global marine fishery Subject: Nature Communications 8, (2017). doi:10.1038/ncomms14884 Author: D A Carozza Creator: Arbortext Advanced Print Publisher 9.0.226/W Producer: Acrobat Distiller 8.1.0 (Windows) CreationDate: Mon Mar 20 11:45:30 2017 CET ModDate: Tue Mar 21 06:22:47 2017 CET Tagged: no UserProperties: no Suspects: no Form: AcroForm JavaScript: no Pages: 7 Encrypted: no Page size: 595.276 x 782.362 pts Page rot: 0 File size: 1076813 bytes Optimized: yes PDF version: 1.6 name type encoding emb sub uni object ID ------------------------------------ ----------------- ---------------- --- --- --- --------- CFOJFI+AdvOTea1a7398 Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 313 0 CFOJFJ+AdvOTcb88df00 Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 321 0 CFOJJI+Arial-BoldMT Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 322 0 CFOJLJ+AdvOTf23bb480 Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 323 0 CFOJLK+AdvTimes-i Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 324 0 CFOKAJ+AdvTTda6f6cb8.B Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 334 0 CFOKIM+Helvetica-Oblique Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 156 0 CFOKIN+Helvetica-Bold Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 149 0 CFOKDJ+AdvOT125c650c Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 150 0 CFOKDK+AdvOT1ef757c0 Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 152 0 CFOKEK+AdvPi1 Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 165 0 CFOKEL+AdvEls-ent7 Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 162 0 CFOKIL+Helvetica Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 153 0 CFOKMM+AdvOTb65e897d.B Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 166 0 CFPKGN+AdvP4C4E74 Type 1C Custom yes yes no 173 0 CFPLOF+AdvItcSymbol-M Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 178 0 CGAFAO+AdvOT7d6df7ab.I Type 1C Custom yes yes yes 183 0 CGAJDF+AdvEls-ent3 Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 184 0 Jhove (Rel. 1.6, 2011-01-04) Date: 2018-04-07 04:35:46 CEST RepresentationInformation: natcom_a2107m3v8a14884.pdf ReportingModule: PDF-hul, Rel. 1.8 (2009-05-22) LastModified: 2018-03-23 20:09:49 CET Size: 1076813 Format: PDF Version: 1.6 Status: Well-Formed and valid SignatureMatches: PDF-hul MIMEtype: application/pdf Profile: Linearized PDF PDFMetadata: Objects: 361 FreeObjects: 1 IncrementalUpdates: 1 DocumentCatalog: PageLayout: SinglePage PageMode: UseNone Outlines: Item: Title: title_link Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@7c53a9eb Children: Item: Title: Figure™1Global historical time-series characterizing the global wild capture fishery.(a) Reconstructed global fish harvest1, including illegal, unreported and underreported catches. (b) Estimated nominal effort (orange) and effective effort assuming, cons Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@ed17bee Item: Title: Results Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@2a33fae0 Children: Item: Title: Hindcast simulations Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@707f7052 Item: Title: Figure™2Attribution of drivers using model hindcasts of the global fishery.All simulations assume OA, and each varies only the forcing specified; all other ecosystem and economic dynamics are solved prognostically. The average ex-vessel price of fish (a) Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@11028347 Item: Title: Figure™3Global historical hindcast simulation.Lines and shaded areas show the model ensemble mean and 1 s.d., respectively, assuming open access (OA, that is, no regulation), 5percnt per year technological progress, the observed history of ex-vessel price Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@14899482 Item: Title: Figure™4Spatial expansion of fisheries in historical hindcast simulation.Ensemble-average harvest in years 1950 (a) and 2000 (b).™Colour shading shows the harvest in t km-2thinspyr-1. For these plots, the™ensemble was forced with satellite-based observati Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@21588809 Children: Item: Title: Idealized future projections Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@2aae9190 Item: Title: Discussion Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@2f333739 Item: Title: Figure™5Future ensemble projections of global harvest under idealized scenarios.In each panel, four different idealized scenarios illustrate a range of possible long-term outcomes, reflecting different roles of technological progress, fisheries management Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@77468bd9 Item: Title: Methods Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@12bb4df8 Children: Item: Title: Model overview Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@4cc77c2e Item: Title: Parameter selection Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@7a7b0070 Item: Title: Model forcing and simulations Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@39a054a5 Item: Title: Code availability Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@71bc1ae4 Item: Title: Data availability Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@6ed3ef1 Item: Title: PaulyD.ZellerD.Catch reconstructions reveal that global marine fisheries catches are higher than reported and decliningNat. Commun.7102442016WatsonR. A.Global marine yield halved as fishing intensity redoublesFish Fish.144935032013HilbornR.State of the wo Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@2437c6dc Item: Title: We thank the Canadian Foundation for Innovation (CFI) for providing computing infrastructure, and the Marine Environmental Prediction and Response (MEOPAR) Network Centre of Excellence and Canadian Foundation for Advanced Research (CIFAR) for funding supp Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@1f89ab83 Item: Title: ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@e73f9ac Item: Title: Author contributions Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@61064425 Item: Title: Additional information Destination: edu.harvard.hul.ois.jhove.module.pdf.PdfSimpleObject@7b1d7fff Info: Title: A coupled human-Earth model perspective on long-term trends in the global marine fishery Author: D A Carozza Subject: Nature 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