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sectionAbs1 Children: Item: Title: Background Destination: sectionASec1 Item: Title: Methods Destination: sectionASec2 Item: Title: Results Destination: sectionASec3 Item: Title: Conclusions Destination: sectionASec4 Item: Title: Introduction Destination: sectionSec1 Item: Title: Materials and methods Destination: sectionSec2 Children: Item: Title: ATHLOS project and the harmonized dataset Destination: sectionSec3 Item: Title: Age period cohort analysis Destination: sectionSec4 Item: Title: Results Destination: sectionSec5 Item: Title: Discussion Destination: sectionSec6 Item: Title: Conclusion Destination: sectionSec7 Item: Title: Supplementary information Destination: sectionSec8 Item: Title: Abbreviations Destination: sectionabr1 Item: Title: Acknowledgements Destination: section1 Item: Title: Authors’ contributions Destination: section2 Item: Title: Funding Destination: section3 Item: Title: Availability of data and materials Destination: section4 Item: Title: Ethics approval and 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10.1186/s10194-020-01108-3 The Journal of Headache and Pain The Journal of Headache and Pain, 2020, doi:10.1186/s10194-020-01108-3 Pain Projection Bayesian age period cohort model Headache disorders Musculoskeletal disorders Employment Pain rates in general population for the period 1991–2015 and 10-years prediction: results from a multi-continent age-period-cohort analysis Davide Guido Matilde Leonardi Blanca Mellor-Marsá Maria V. 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