ce7d3bd5cc915defd9f501c618bd020e pmc_9312922.pdf 1b06670a96c8617c3325e1df0d81f304434a68ae pmc_9312922.pdf b22abefe9b8b5e91d1b6ab924e14089ea96e79c46d81dbfa568fcc7d910ef41a pmc_9312922.pdf Title: Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events and Mortality Prediction by Circulating GDF-15 in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Subject: Background: Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is a homeostatic cytokine that regulates neural and cardio-metabolic functions, and its release is increased in response to stress, injury, and inflammation. In patients with coronary artery disease and heart failure (HF), three separate meta-analyses have found that elevated circulating GDF-15 was predictive of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), but none has evaluated its effects on incident MACE including HF and mortality hazard in type 2 diabetes. Methods: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Scopus databases were queried. Articles that met the predefined eligibility criteria, including prospective studies that reported adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs), were selected according to the Cochrane Handbook and PRISMA guidelines. Study endpoints were (1) MACE including HF, and (2) all-cause mortality. Different GDF-15 concentration measurements were harmonized using a validated mathematical approach to express log2-transformed values in per standard deviation (SD). Study heterogeneity (I2), quality, and bias were assessed. Results: 19354 patients in 8 prospective studies were included. In 7 studies that reported 4247 MACE among 19200 participants, the incident rate was 22.1% during a median follow-up of 5.6 years. It was found that four of eight studies included HF decompensation or hospitalization as a component of MACE. In 5 studies that reported all-cause mortality, 1893 of 13223 patients died, at an incidence rate of 15.1% over 5.0 years. Of note, each 1 SD increase of log2[GDF-15] was associated with aHRs of 1.12 (1.09–1.15, I2 = 5%, p < 0.000001) and 1.27 (1.11–1.46, I2 = 86%, p = 0.00062) and for MACE and all-cause mortality, respectively. Conclusion: Elevated circulating level of GDF-15 was robustly predictive of MACE in patients with T2D but its prognostic significance in the prediction of mortality requires further studies. Keywords: growth differentiation factor 15; adverse cardiovascular outcomes; coronary artery disease; heart failure; type 2 diabetes; mortality Author: Suyi Xie, Qi Li, Andrea O. Y. Luk, Hui-Yao Lan, Paul K. S. Chan, Antoni Bayés-Genís, Francis K. L. Chan and Erik Fung Creator: LaTeX with hyperref Producer: pdfTeX-1.40.21 CreationDate: Mon Jul 4 11:23:26 2022 CEST ModDate: Mon Jul 4 11:40:42 2022 CEST Custom Metadata: no Metadata Stream: no Tagged: no UserProperties: no Suspects: no Form: none JavaScript: no Pages: 12 Encrypted: no Page size: 595.276 x 841.89 pts (A4) Page rot: 0 File size: 1272896 bytes Optimized: no PDF version: 1.7 name type encoding emb sub uni object ID ------------------------------------ ----------------- ---------------- --- --- --- --------- CQZVIY+VnURWPalladioL Type 1 Custom yes yes no 10 0 PDCYZP+URWPalladioL-Bold Type 1 Custom yes yes no 15 0 JNUPDP+URWPalladioL-Roma Type 1 Custom yes yes no 20 0 LSLOSB+URWPalladioL-Ital Type 1 Custom yes yes no 24 0 YSPQJI+VnURWPalladioL-Bold Type 1 Custom yes yes no 28 0 IVVSWS+TimesNewRomanPS-BoldItalicMT Type 1C WinAnsi yes yes no 48 0 DCWRCI+PazoMath Type 1 Builtin yes yes no 81 0 GIGFZE+CMR10 Type 1 Builtin yes yes no 85 0 WNRCBH+PazoMath-Italic Type 1 Builtin yes yes no 89 0 EVVUAF+CMSY10 Type 1 Builtin yes yes no 93 0 AHHBOL+PalatinoLinotype,Bold TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 103 0 AHHBON+PalatinoLinotype TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 106 0 AHHBOP+PalatinoLinotype,Italic TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 109 0 CKBPVA+EURM10 Type 1 Builtin yes yes no 119 0 AHHBOL+PalatinoLinotype,Bold TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 129 0 AHHBON+PalatinoLinotype TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 132 0 AHHBOP+PalatinoLinotype,Italic TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 135 0 AHHFMK+Arial CID TrueType Identity-H yes yes yes 138 0 AHHBOL+PalatinoLinotype,Bold TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 150 0 AHHBON+PalatinoLinotype TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 153 0 AHHBOP+PalatinoLinotype,Italic TrueType WinAnsi yes yes no 156 0 Jhove (Rel. 1.28.0, 2023-05-18) Date: 2024-03-20 02:41:09 CET RepresentationInformation: pmc_9312922.pdf ReportingModule: PDF-hul, Rel. 1.12.4 (2023-03-16) LastModified: 2023-10-09 02:23:36 CEST Size: 1272896 Format: PDF Version: 1.7 Status: Well-Formed and valid SignatureMatches: PDF-hul MIMEtype: application/pdf PDFMetadata: Objects: 356 FreeObjects: 1 IncrementalUpdates: 0 DocumentCatalog: PageLayout: SinglePage PageMode: UseNone Outlines: Item: Title: Introduction Destination: section.1 Item: Title: Materials and Methods Destination: section.2 Children: Item: Title: Data Sources and Search Strategy Destination: subsection.2.1 Item: Title: Eligibility Criteria Destination: subsection.2.2 Item: Title: Definition of Study Endpoints Destination: subsection.2.3 Item: Title: Data Extraction Destination: subsection.2.4 Item: Title: Data Harmonization and Statistical Analysis Destination: subsection.2.5 Item: Title: Assessment of Publication Bias and Study Quality Destination: subsection.2.6 Item: Title: Results Destination: section.3 Children: Item: Title: Characteristics of the Included Prospective Studies Destination: subsection.3.1 Item: Title: Elevated GDF-15 and Risks of Future MACE Destination: subsection.3.2 Item: Title: Elevated GDF-15 and Hazard of All-Cause Mortality Destination: subsection.3.3 Item: Title: Ascertainment of Quality of Study and Publicaiton Bias Destination: subsection.3.4 Item: Title: Discussion Destination: section.4 Item: Title: Conclusions Destination: section.5 Item: Title: References Destination: section.5 Info: Title: Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events and Mortality Prediction by Circulating GDF-15 in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Author: Suyi Xie, Qi Li, Andrea O. Y. Luk, Hui-Yao Lan, Paul K. S. Chan, Antoni Bayés-Genís, Francis K. L. Chan and Erik Fung Subject: Background: Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is a homeostatic cytokine that regulates neural and cardio-metabolic functions, and its release is increased in response to stress, injury, and inflammation. In patients with coronary artery disease and heart failure (HF), three separate meta-analyses have found that elevated circulating GDF-15 was predictive of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), but none has evaluated its effects on incident MACE including HF and mortality hazard in type 2 diabetes. Methods: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Scopus databases were queried. Articles that met the predefined eligibility criteria, including prospective studies that reported adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs), were selected according to the Cochrane Handbook and PRISMA guidelines. Study endpoints were (1) MACE including HF, and (2) all-cause mortality. Different GDF-15 concentration measurements were harmonized using a validated mathematical approach to express log2-transformed values in per standard deviation (SD). Study heterogeneity (I2), quality, and bias were assessed. Results: 19354 patients in 8 prospective studies were included. In 7 studies that reported 4247 MACE among 19200 participants, the incident rate was 22.1% during a median follow-up of 5.6 years. It was found that four of eight studies included HF decompensation or hospitalization as a component of MACE. In 5 studies that reported all-cause mortality, 1893 of 13223 patients died, at an incidence rate of 15.1% over 5.0 years. Of note, each 1 SD increase of log2[GDF-15] was associated with aHRs of 1.12 (1.09 1.15, I2 = 5%, p < 0.000001) and 1.27 (1.11 1.46, I2 = 86%, p = 0.00062) and for MACE and all-cause mortality, respectively. Conclusion: Elevated circulating level of GDF-15 was robustly predictive of MACE in patients with T2D but its prognostic significance in the prediction of mortality requires further studies. 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