Sovereign default : the role of expectations
Ayres, João
Navarro, Gaston
Nicolini, Juan Pablo
Teles, Pedro

Fecha: 2018
Resumen: In the standard model of sovereign default, as in Aguiar and Gopinath (2006) or Arellano (2008), default is driven by fundamentals alone. There is no independent role for expectations. We show that small variations of that model are consistent with multiple interest rate equilibria, similar to the ones found in Calvo (1988). For distributions of output that are commonly used in the literature, the high interest rate equilibria have properties that make them fragile. Once output is drawn from a distribution with both good and bad times, however, it is possible to have robust high interest rate equilibria.
Resumen: The ADEMU Working Paper Series is being supported by the European Commission Horizon 2020 European Union funding for Research & Innovation, grant agreement No 649396.
Ayudas: European Commission 649396
Derechos: Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. Creative Commons
Lengua: Anglès
Colección: Barcelona Graduate School of Economics. ADEMU working paper series
Colección: ADEMU Working Paper Series ; 86
Documento: Working paper
Materia: Sovereign default ; Multiple equilibria ; Good and bad times

Adreça alternativa: https://hdl.handle.net/10230/34458


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 Registro creado el 2018-10-23, última modificación el 2022-07-09



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