Home > Articles > Published articles > Global trends in carbon sinks and their relationships with CO₂ and temperature |
Date: | 2019 |
Abstract: | Elevated CO₂ concentrations increase photosynthesis and, potentially, net ecosystem production (NEP), meaning a greater CO₂ uptake. Climate, nutrients and ecosystem structure, however, influence the effect of increasing CO₂. Here we analysed global NEP from MACC-II and Jena CarboScope atmospheric inversions and ten dynamic global vegetation models (TRENDY), using statistical models to attribute the trends in NEP to its potential drivers: CO2, climatic variables and land-use change. We found that an increased CO2 was consistently associated with an increased NEP (1995-2014). Conversely, increased temperatures were negatively associated with NEP. Using the two atmospheric inversions and TRENDY, the estimated global sensitivities for CO₂ were 6. 0 ± 0. 1, 8. 1 ± 0. 3 and 3. 1 ± 0. 1 PgC per 100 ppm (~1 °C increase), and −0. 5 ± 0. 2, −0. 9 ± 0. 4 and −1. 1 ± 0. 1 PgC °C⁻¹ for temperature. These results indicate a positive CO₂ effect on terrestrial C sinks that is constrained by climate warming. |
Grants: | European Commission 610028 Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad CGL2016-79835-P Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca 2017/SGR-1005 |
Rights: | Tots els drets reservats. |
Language: | Anglès |
Document: | Article ; recerca ; Versió acceptada per publicar |
Published in: | Nature climate change, Vol. 9 (Jan. 2019) , p. 73-79, ISSN 1758-6798 |
Postprint. Article 26 p, 1.4 MB |
Postprint. Material suplementari 25 p, 1.0 MB |