Positive tipping points in a rapidly warming world
Tàbara, J. David 1964- , (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Institut de Ciència i Tecnologia Ambientals)
Frantzeskaki, Niki (Dutch Research Institute for Transitions)
Hölscher, Katharina (Dutch Research Institute for Transitions)
Pedde, Simona (Wageningen University & Research. Soil Geography and Landscape Group)
Kok, Kasper (Wageningen University & Research. Soil Geography and Landscape Group)
Lamperti, Francesco (Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna Piazza Martiri della Libertà. Istituto di Economia)
Christensen, Jens H. (Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut)
Jäger, Jill (Independent (Vienna))
Berry, Pam M (University of Oxford. Environmental Change Institute)

Data:	2018
Resum:	The challenge of meeting the UNFCCC CoP21 goal of keeping global warming 'well below 2 °C and to pursue efforts towards 1. 5 °C' ('the 2-1. 5 °C target') calls for research efforts to better understand the opportunities and constraints for fundamental transformations in global systems dynamics which currently drive the unsustainable and inequitable use of the Earth's resources. To this end, this research reviews and introduces the notion of positive tipping points as emergent properties of systems-including both human capacities and structural conditions - which would allow the fast deployment of evolutionary-like transformative solutions to successfully tackle the present socio-climate quandary. Our research provides a simple procedural synthesis to help identify and coordinate the required agents' capacities to implement transformative solutions aligned with such climate goal in different contexts. Our research shows how to identify the required capacities, conditions and potential policy interventions which could eventually lead to the emergence of positive tipping points in various social-ecological systems to address the 2-1. 5 °C policy target. Our insights are based on the participatory downscaling of global Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) to Europe, the formulation of pathways of solutions within these scenarios and the results from an agent-based economic modelling.
Ajuts:	European Commission 642018 European Commission 603416
Nota:	Unidad de excelencia María de Maeztu MdM-2015-0552
Drets:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.
Llengua:	Anglès
Document:	Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Publicat a:	Current opinion in environmental sustainability, Vol. 31 (2018) , p. 120-129, ISSN 1877-3435

DOI: 10.1016/j.cosust.2018.01.012

10 p, 656.2 KB

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