First among equals : The first place effect and political promotion in multi-member plurality elections
Dulay, Dean (Singapore Management University)
Go, Laurence (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)

Data:	2021
Resum:	We study the impact of rank-based decision-making in a multi-member plurality electoral system by examining the decisions of Philippine legislative councilors to run for and win higher office. By focusing on multi-member plurality elections, we identify the effect of rank amongst politicians that hold the same office and received a similar number of votes. To identify the causal effect of rank, we conduct a close-elections RD at the village, municipality, and province levels. Our main result is the first place effect: incumbent first placers are 5-9% (1-4%) more likely to run (win) in future elections than incumbent second placers. The first place effect is unique among rank effects: subsequent rank comparisons yield substantially weaker or insignificant results. Further evidence suggests that a variety of potential mechanisms-party alignment, strategic voting, differential levels of media exposure or the better performance of first placers-do not seem to explain our results. These results improve our understanding of the variety of ways rank effects interact with electoral systems.
Nota:	Altres ajuts: acords transformatius de la UAB
Nota:	Altres ajuts: Aquesta investigació ha estat recolzada by the Institute for Humane Studies and the Mack Institute for Innovation Management at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.
Drets:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.
Llengua:	Anglès
Document:	Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Matèria:	Rank effect ; Multi-member plurality ; Political promotion ; Regression discontinuity design ; The Philippines
Publicat a:	Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 200 (august 2021) , p. 104455, ISSN 0047-2727

DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2021.104455

19 p, 3.1 MB

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