Identifying past social-ecological thresholds to understand long-term temporal dynamics in Spain
Santos-Martín, Fernando (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Departamento de Ecología)
González García-Mon, Blanca (Stockholm University. Stockholm Resilience Centre)
González, José A. (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Departamento de Ecología)
Iniesta Arandia, Irene (Universidad de Córdoba)
Garcia-Llorente, Marina (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Departamento de Ecología)
Montes, Carlos (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Departamento de Ecología)
Ravera, Federica (Universitat de Vic - Universitat Central de Catalunya)
López-Santiago, Cesar A. (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Departamento de Ecología)
Carpintero, Óscar (Universidad de Valladolid)
Benayas, Javier (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Departamento de Ecología)
Martín-López, Berta (Leuphana University of Lüneburg. Institute for Ethics and Transdisciplinary Sustainability Research)

Data:	2019
Resum:	A thorough understanding of long-term temporal social-ecological dynamics at the national scale helps to explain the current condition of a country's ecosystems and to support environmental policies to tackle future sustainability challenges. We aimed to develop a methodological approach to understand past long-term (1960-2010) social-ecological dynamics in Spain. First, we developed a methodical framework that allowed us to explore complex social-ecological dynamics among biodiversity, ecosystem services, human well-being, drivers of change, and institutional responses. Second, we compiled 21 long-term, national-scale indicators and analyzed their temporal relationships through a redundancy analysis. Third, we used a Bayesian change point analysis to detect evidence of past social-ecological thresholds and historical time periods. Our results revealed that Spain has passed through four socialecological thresholds that define five different time periods of nature and society relationships. Finally, we discussed how the proposed methodological approach helps to reinterpret national-level ecosystem indicators through a new conceptual lens to develop a more systems-based way of understanding long-term social-ecological patterns and dynamics.
Ajuts:	Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad CGL2014-53782-P
Drets:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, sempre que no sigui amb finalitats comercials, i sempre que es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.
Llengua:	Anglès
Document:	Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Matèria:	Ecosystem service ; Long-term analysis ; Social-ecological thresholds ; Spain ; Temporal dynamics
Publicat a:	Ecology and society, Vol. 24, Issue 2 (July 2019) , art. 10, ISSN 1708-3087

DOI: 10.5751/ES-10734-240210

23 p, 1.6 MB

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