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24 p, 434.0 KB Using a Bayesian change-point statistical model with autoregressive terms to study the monthly number of dispensed asthma medications by public health services / Mota de Queiroz, J. A. (Instituto Federal do Paraná – IFPR (Brasil)) ; Aragon, Davi Casale (Universidade de São Paulo. Ribeirão Preto Medical School) ; Mello, Luane Marques de (Universidade de São Paulo. Ribeirão Preto Medical School) ; Previdelli, Isolde Terezinha Santos (Universidade Estadual de Maringá) ; Martinez, Edson Z. (Universidade de São Paulo. Ribeirão Preto Medical School)
In this paper, it is proposed a Bayesian analysis of a time series in the presence of a random change-point and autoregressive terms. The development of this model was motivated by a data set related to the monthly number of asthma medications dispensed by the public health services of Ribeirao Preto, Southeast Brazil, from 1999 to 2011. [...]
2018 - 10.2436/20.8080.02.66
SORT : statistics and operations research transactions, Vol. 42 Núm. 1 (January-June 2018) , p. 3-26 (Articles)  

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