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22 p, 10.8 MB Next-generation ensemble projections reveal higher climate risks for marine ecosystems / Tittensor, Derek (Dalhousie University. Department of Biology) ; Novaglio, Camilla (University of Tasmania. Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies) ; Harrison, Cheryl (University of Texas Rio Grande Valley) ; Heneghan, Ryan (Queensland University of Technology. School of Mathematical Sciences) ; Barrier, Nicolas (Université Montpellier) ; Bianchi, Daniele (University of California Los Angeles. Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences) ; Bopp, Laurent (Sorbonne Université. Ecole Polytechnique) ; Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea (Dalhousie University. Department of Biology) ; Britten, Gregory (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) ; Büchner, Matthias (Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research) ; Cheung, William W. L. (The University of British Columbia. Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries) ; Christensen, Villy (The University of British Columbia. Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries) ; Coll, Marta (Institut de Ciències del Mar) ; Dunne, Johan (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) ; Eddy, Tyler D. (Memorial University of Newfoundland. Fisheries and Marine Institute) ; Everett, Jason D. (The University of Queensland. School of Mathematics and Physics) ; Fernandes, Jose A. (Alianza Vasca de Investigación y Tecnología) ; Fulton, Elizabeth A. (University of Tasmania. Center for Marine Socio-ecology) ; Galbraith, Eric (McGill University. Department of Earth and Planetary Science) ; Gascuel, Didier (Institut Agro) ; Guiet, Jérôme (University of California Los Angeles. Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences) ; John, Jasmin G. (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) ; Link, Jason (Noaa Fisheries) ; Lotze, Heike K.. (Dalhousie University. Department of Biology) ; Maury, Olivier (Université Montpellier) ; Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly (University of Cape Town. Department of Biological Sciences) ; Palacios-Abrantes, Juliano (The University of British Columbia. Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries) ; Petrik, Colleen (Texas A&M University. Department of Oceanography) ; Pontavice, Hubert du (Institut Agro) ; Rault, Jonathan (Université Montpellier) ; Richardson, Anthony (The University of Queensland. School of Mathematics and Physics) ; Shannon, Lynne (University of Cape Town. Department of Biological Sciences) ; Shin, Yunne-Jai (Université Montpellier) ; Steenbeek, Jeroen (Ecopath International Initiative Research Association) ; Stock, Charles (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) ; Blanchard, Julia (University of Tasmania. Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies)
Projections of climate change impacts on marine ecosystems have revealed long-term declines in global marine animal biomass and unevenly distributed impacts on fisheries. Here we apply an enhanced suite of global marine ecosystem models from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (Fish-MIP), forced by new-generation Earth system model outputs from Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), to provide insights into how projected climate change will affect future ocean ecosystems. [...]
2021 - 10.1038/s41558-021-01173-9
Nature Climate Change, Vol. 11 (November 2021) , p. 973-981  

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