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49 p, 2.8 MB Chronicle of a war foretold : the macroeconomic effects of anticipated defence spending shocks / Ben Zeev, Nadav (Ben Gurion University of the Negev) ; Pappa, Evi (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)
We identify US defense news shocks as shocks that best explain future moviments in defense spending over a five-year horizon and are orthogonal to current defense spending. Our identified shocks are strongly correlated with the Ramey (2011) news shocks, but explain a larger share of macroeconomic fluctuations and have significant demand effects. [...]
2017 - 10.1111/ecoj.12349
Economic journal, Vol. 127 Núm. 603 (2017) , p. 1568-1597  
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