Data: |
2016 |
Resum: |
Previous work has documented a greater sensitivity of long-term government bond yields to fundamentals in Euro area peripheral countries during the euro crisis, but we know little about the driver(s) of regime switches. Our estimates based on a panel smooth threshold regression model quantify and explain them: 1) investors have penalized a deterioration of fundamentals more strongly from 2010 to 2012; 2) the higher the bank credit risk, measured with the premium on credit derivatives, the higher the extra premium on fundamentals; 3) after ECB President Draghi's speech in July 2012, it took one year to restore the non crisis regime and suppress the extra premium. |
Resum: |
The ADEMU Working Paper Series is being supported by the European Commission Horizon 2020 European Union funding for Research & Innovation, grant agreement No 649396. |
Ajuts: |
European Commission 649396
|
Drets: |
Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. |
Llengua: |
Anglès |
Col·lecció: |
Barcelona Graduate School of Economics. ADEMU working paper series |
Col·lecció: |
ADEMU Working Paper Series ; 32 |
Document: |
Working paper |
Matèria: |
European sovereign crisis ;
Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models ;
CDS indices |