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Diverging reproductive outcomes by maternal education during the Covid-19 pandemic across Brazilian and Colombian regions
Castro-Torres, Andrés F (Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics)
Acosta, Enrique (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research)
Pardo, Ignacio (Universidad de la República, Montevideo)
Sacco, Nicolas (The Pennsylvania State University)
Piedad Urdinola, Beatriz (Universidad Nacional de Colombia)
Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics

Fecha: 2023
Resumen: This work contributes to the current understanding of the heterogeneous impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on fertility. Using more than 36. 4 million birth and death records for Brazil and Colombia (2015-2021), we document state-level correlations between the intensity of the pandemic, measured by the current and 9-month lagged excess mortality, and the observed number of births relative to a Covid-19-free hypothetical scenario. We disaggregate these correlations according to maternal age and years of schooling to test the hypothesis that the influence of the Covid-19 pandemic on births interacted with pre-existing forms of social inequality. Results from multivariate linear models suggest that the association between the intensity of the pandemic and the relative number of births was negative for women with at least 8 years of schooling, while it was positive or null for women with fewer years of education. This result means that in subnational areas severely hit by the Covid-19 pandemic, women with few years of schooling did not delay fertility as most women potentially did. These results suggest that disadvantaged groups in Latin America and potentially in other contexts may suffer more acutely the consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic, which has been largely neglected by studies that assume homogeneous impacts of Covid-19 on population dynamics.
Ayudas: Agencia Estatal de Investigación RYC2021-032210-I
Nota: Altres ajuts: Generalitat de Catalunya (2021 BP 00027)
Derechos: Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, sempre que no sigui amb finalitats comercials, i sempre que es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. Creative Commons
Lengua: Anglès
Documento: Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Materia: Covid-19 ; Fertility ; Latin America
Publicado en: Population, space and place, Vol. 30 Núm. 1 (2023) , ISSN 1544-8452

DOI: 10.1002/psp.2735


19 p, 1.7 MB

El registro aparece en las colecciones:
Documentos de investigación > Documentos de los grupos de investigación de la UAB > Centros y grupos de investigación (producción científica) > Ciencias sociales y jurídicas > Centre d’Estudis Demogràfics (CED-CERCA)
Artículos > Artículos de investigación
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 Registro creado el 2024-01-15, última modificación el 2024-04-02



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