The effects of government spending endogeneity on estimated multipliers in the U.S
Moura, Alban

Date: 2015
Abstract: This paper uses an estimated sticky-price model to identify endogenous movements in government consumption in the U. S. economy. Two feedback effects are considered, one originating from the stock of public debt and one from contemporaneous output. The data provide significant statistical evidence in favor of such mechanisms, even though a subsample analysis reveals that their strength may have decreased over time. Monte Carlo simulations assessing a DSGE model with exogenous spending and various identified VARs suggest that failing to account for these feedbacks may induce a severe upward bias in estimated multipliers.
Abstract: The ADEMU Working Paper Series is being supported by the European Commission Horizon 2020 European Union funding for Research & Innovation, grant agreement No 649396.
Grants: European Commission 649396
Rights: Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. Creative Commons
Language: Anglès
Series: Barcelona Graduate School of Economics. ADEMU working paper series
Series: Ademu Working Paper Series ; 15
Document: Working paper
Subject: Government spending multiplier ; Endogenous fiscal policy ; Structural econometrics

Adreça alternativa: https://hdl.handle.net/10230/27287


27 p, 398.5 KB

The record appears in these collections:
Research literature > Working papers

 Record created 2018-10-23, last modified 2022-07-09



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