| Date: |
2016 |
| Abstract: |
We investigate if a reduction of government consumption lowers the sovereign default premium. For this purpose we build a new data set for 38 emerging and developed economies. Results vary along three dimensions. First, the time horizon: the premium declines, but only in the long run. Second, initial conditions: the premium increases in the short run, but only if it is already high. Third, size: the short-run response of the premium increases disproportionately as government consumption is reduced. We rationalize these findings in a structural model of optimal sovereign default where default risk is priced in an actuarially fair manner. |
| Grants: |
European Commission 649396
|
| Rights: |
Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.  |
| Language: |
Anglès |
| Series: |
Barcelona Graduate School of Economics. ADEMU working paper series |
| Series: |
Ademu Working Papers Series ; 4 |
| Document: |
Working paper |
| Subject: |
Fiscal policy ;
Austerity ;
Sovereign risk ;
Default premium ;
Local projections ;
Panel VAR ;
Fiscal stress |
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