| Fecha: |
2016 |
| Resumen: |
Membership in a currency union is not irreversible. Exit expectations may emerge during sovereign debt crises, because exit allows countries to reduce their liabilities through a currency redenomination. As market participants anticipate this possibility, sovereign debt crises intensify. We establish this formally within a small open economy model of changing policy regimes. The model permits explosive dynamics of debt and sovereign yields inside currency unions and allows us to distinguish between exit expectations and those of an outright default. By estimating the model on Greek data, we quantify the contribution of exit expectations to the crisis dynamics during 2009-2012. |
| Ayudas: |
European Commission 649396
|
| Derechos: |
Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.  |
| Lengua: |
Anglès |
| Colección: |
Barcelona Graduate School of Economics. ADEMU working paper series |
| Colección: |
Ademu Working Papers Series ; 5 |
| Documento: |
Working paper |
| Materia: |
Currency union ;
Sovereign debt crisis ;
Fiscal policy ;
Redenomination premium ;
Euro crisis ;
Regime-switching model |
visitante ::
identificación
