Quantification of uncertainty associated with each scenario across multiple dimensions, Deliverable 2.3, SEEDS Project
de Tomás-Pascual, Alexander (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)
Soleymani-Fard, Ramin (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)
Villalba, Gara (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)
Madrid, Cristina (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)
Pérez-Sánchez, Laura (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)

Date:	2024
Abstract:	The SEEDS project aims to address the disconnection between the modelling of pathways for the energy transition and stakeholder participation which is informed about the consequences of those pathways. It uses a PNS approach as it includes a human-computer loop to integrate in the assessment multiple points of view and values (expert and non-expert) and acknowledges the uncertainty of the modelling workflows. In this report, we introduce the assessment of uncertainty, whose results will complement the energy and socio-ecological modeling results in the webapp. As proposed by Funtowicz & Ravetz (1994) and Saltelli (2019), we questioned to what extent, if any, our models are fit to represent the real world. Some tools can be used to make models more transparent and undercover unspoken beliefs underlying a model. In the methods section, we explain their characteristics. Afterwards, we apply them to each of the steps of the human-computer loop.
Grants:	Agencia Estatal de Investigación PCI2020-120710-2
Rights:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan aquestes es distribueixin sota la mateixa llicència que regula l'obra original i es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.
Language:	Anglès
Document:	Informe
Subject:	Energy transition ; Social Metabolism ; Life cycle Assessment ; Uncertainty ; Post-normal science ; Portugal

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.11174566

38 p, 1.3 MB

The record appears in these collections:
Research literature > Projects reports