Global multidimensional poverty and COVID-19 : a decade of progress at risk?
Alkire, Sabina (University of Oxford)
Nogales, Ricardo (University of Oxford)
Quinn, Natalie Naïri (University of Oxford)
Suppa, Nicolai (Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics)

Imprint: University of Oxford : Oxford Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative (OPHI), 2021
Description: 26 pag.
Abstract: According to the global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), an internationally comparable measure, poverty in developing countries has fallen substantially over the last 15 years. The COVID-19 pandemic and associated economic contraction are negatively impacting multiple dimensions of poverty and jeopardising this progress. This paper uses quantitative assessments of increases in food insecurity and out of school children made by UN agencies to inform microsimulations of potential impacts of the pandemic under six alternative scenarios. These simulations use the nationally representative datasets underlying the 2020 update of the global MPI. Because these datasets were collected between one and 12 years pre-pandemic, we develop models to translate the simulated impacts to 2020 while accounting for underlying poverty reduction trends and country-specific factors. Aggregating results across 70 countries that account for 89% of the global poor according to the 2020 global MPI, we find that the potential setback to multidimensional poverty reduction is between 3. 6 and 9. 9 years under the alternative scenarios.
Grants: European Commission 864616
Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación IJCI-2017-33950
Note: This publication arises from research partially funded by the John Fell Oxford University Press (OUP) Research Fund, as well as ESRC-DFIDES/N01457X/1, DfID project 300706 and Sida Project 11141. The autors are grateful to all funders for their support. Suppa gratefully acknowledges funding of the European Research Council (ERC-2019-CoG-864616, HEALIN project, the CERCA Programme (GeneralitatdeCatalunya), and of the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities Juan de la Cierva Research Grant Programs (IJCI-2017-33950).
Note: Altres ajuts: ESRC-DFIDES/N01457X/1
Note: Altres ajuts: DfID/300706
Note: Altres ajuts: DfID/11141
Rights: Tots els drets reservats.
Language: Anglès
Series: OPHI Research in Progress Series ; 61a
Document: Working paper
Subject: Multidimensional poverty ; Global MPI ; COVID-19 ; Education ; Nutrition ; Microsimulations ; Poverty projections ; Developing regions

Adreça alternativa: https://ophi.org.uk/rp-61a/


26 p, 415.2 KB

The record appears in these collections:
Research literature > UAB research groups literature > Research Centres and Groups (research output) > Social and Legal Sciences > Centre for Demographic Studies (CED-CERCA)
Research literature > Working papers

 Record created 2021-06-14, last modified 2023-07-04



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