Humans versus models : a comparative assessment of ecosystem services models and stakeholders' perceptions
David, João (Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin)
Cabral, Pedro (Universidade Nova de Lisboa)
Campos, Felipe S. (Centre de Recerca Ecològica i d'Aplicacions Forestals)

Data:	2024
Resum:	Mapping the production of Ecosystem Services (ES) is imperative for sustainable ecosystem management. Likewise, incorporating expert knowledge enhances ES research. Here, we calculate eight multi-temporal ES indicators for mainland Portugal using a spatial modelling approach. These indicators are then integrated into the novel ASEBIO index-Assessment of Ecosystem Services and Biodiversity-which depicts a combined ES potential based on CORINE Land Cover, using a multi-criteria evaluation method with weights defined by stakeholders through an Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Outputs from the modelling show how ES have changed in Portugal in relation to land use changes, including trade-offs between 1990 and 2018. The composed ASEBIO index is compared against the stakeholders' valuation of ES potential for the year 2018. The results reveal a significant mismatch between the ES potential perceived by stakeholders and the models, with stakeholder estimates being 32. 8% higher on average. All the selected ES were overestimated by the stakeholders. Drought regulation and erosion prevention have the highest contrasts, while water purification, food production and recreation are the most closely aligned among both approaches. Providing the first national overview about the status of multiple ES over a 28 year-period, our findings highlight potential disparities between data-driven and stakeholder-based evaluations. Therefore, we suggest the need for integrative strategies that consider scientific models with expert knowledge for more effective ES assessments and land-use planning. This approach could help bridge the gap between data-driven models and human perspectives, resulting in more balanced and inclusive decision-making.
Ajuts:	Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca 2022/BP-00092
Drets:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.
Llengua:	Anglès
Document:	Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Matèria:	Land use changes ; Ecosystem services indicators ; Landscape planning ; Stakeholders' perception ; Sustainable management ; Ecosystem services ; Ecological modelling ; Environmental impact ; Sustainability
Publicat a:	Scientific reports, Vol. 14 (October 2024) , art. 25995, ISSN 2045-2322

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-76600-w
PMID: 39472640

13 p, 1.9 MB

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Documents de recerca > Documents dels grups de recerca de la UAB > Centres i grups de recerca (producció científica) > Ciències > CREAF (Centre de Recerca Ecològica i d'Aplicacions Forestals)
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