Sector-specific climate policies for a green industrial transition with public support
Wood Hansen, Oskar Louis (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Institut de Ciència i Tecnologia Ambientals)
Koslowski, Maximilian (Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU))

Fecha:	2026
Resumen:	Paris pledges have yet to translate into effective climate policy as global warming approaches 1. 5°C. A major political obstacle to the green transition is the 'job-killing' argument, which persists due to public concerns about job losses and the inevitable decline of some sectors. To examine how this challenge varies across sectors, this paper analyses the emission intensity of employment (CO2eq/job), complementing the traditional indicator-emissions per value added. Using final goods-based accounting, we estimate the domestic emissions and employment in each sector as well as in their supply chains. This reveals the need for policies that balance emission reductions with job losses not just in targeted sectors but throughout the economy. Results show sectors vary widely in job generation and emission intensity of jobs, implying distinct policy challenges. In response, we propose a sector-specific policy framework with four strategies: Protect & proceed; Keep & decarbonize; Decarbonize or decline; and Let live. These strategies combine three kinds of climate policy to match sector characteristics: carbon pricing, green industrial policy, and just transition measures. By addressing decarbonization and employment in a balanced way, these strategies can improve public acceptability and enhance the political feasibility of climate action.
Ayudas:	Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades CEX2024-001506-M "la Caixa" Foundation 11860022
Nota:	Unidad de excelencia María de Maeztu CEX2019-000940-M
Derechos:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.
Lengua:	Anglès
Documento:	Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Materia:	Hypothetical extraction ; Input-output ; Linkage analysis ; Political feasibility ; Public support ; Transition challenges
Publicado en:	Climate Policy, April 2026, ISSN 1752-7457

DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2026.2651852

19 p, 1.7 MB

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Documentos de investigación > Documentos de los grupos de investigación de la UAB > Centros y grupos de investigación (producción científica) > Ciencias > Institut de Ciència i Tecnologia Ambientals (ICTA)
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