Accounting for the climate-carbon feedback in emission metrics
Gasser, Thomas (Université Paris-Saclay)
Peters, Glen P. (CICERO Senter for Klimaforskning)
Fuglestvedt, Jan S. (CICERO Senter for Klimaforskning)
Collins, William J. (University of Reading. Department of Meteorology)
Shindell, Drew T. (Duke University. Nicholas School of the Environment)
Ciais, Philippe (Université Paris-Saclay)

Date:	2017
Abstract:	Most emission metrics have previously been inconsistently estimated by including the climate-carbon feedback for the reference gas (i. e. CO2) but not the other species (e. g. CH4). In the fifth assessment report of the IPCC, a first attempt was made to consistently account for the climate-carbon feedback in emission metrics. This attempt was based on only one study, and therefore the IPCC concluded that more research was needed. Here, we carry out this research. First, using the simple Earth system model OSCAR v2. 2, we establish a new impulse response function for the climate-carbon feedback. Second, we use this impulse response function to provide new estimates for the two most common metrics: global warming potential (GWP) and global temperature-change potential (GTP). We find that, when the climate-carbon feedback is correctly accounted for, the emission metrics of non-CO2 species increase, but in most cases not as much as initially indicated by IPCC. We also find that, when the feedback is removed for both the reference and studied species, these relative metric values only have modest changes compared to when the feedback is included (absolute metrics change more markedly). Including or excluding the climate-carbon feedback ultimately depends on the user's goal, but consistency should be ensured in either case.
Grants:	European Commission 610028 European Commission 312979
Note:	Paper contact with cynthia festin: festin@iiasa.ac.at
Note:	Agraïments: This work was partially funded by a visiting researcher grant from the Research Council of Norway (#249972). Glen P. Peters, William J. Collins, Drew T. Shindell and Jan S. Fuglestvedt were supported by the Research Council of Norway (project #235548). Computing was done on the IPSL Prodiguer-Ciclad facility, which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, and Labex L-IPSL, and funded by the ANR (grant #ANR-10-LABX-0018) and the European FP7 IS-ENES2 project (grant #312979).
Rights:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.
Language:	Anglès
Document:	Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Published in:	Earth system dynamics, Vol 8, issue 2 (2017) , p. 235-253, ISSN 2190-4979

DOI: 10.5194/esd-8-235-2017

19 p, 2.2 MB

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