An agent based simulation of COVID-19 history in Catalonia using extensive real datasets
Bosman, Martine (Institut de Física d'Altes Energies)
Cordon, Y. (Institut de Física d'Altes Energies)
Duran-Sala, M. (Institut de Física d'Altes Energies)
Gabbanelli, L. (Institut de Física d'Altes Energies)
García-Pérez, C. (University of Genova)
Jordan, X. (Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya)
Manera, M. (Institut de Física d'Altes Energies)
Masjuan, P. (Institut de Física d'Altes Energies)
Medina, Antonio
Mir, Ll.M. (Institut de Física d'Altes Energies)
Oròs, A. (Institut de Física d'Altes Energies)
Vitagliano, V. (University of Genova)
Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics

Date:	2024
Abstract:	During the COVID-19 pandemic, effective public policy interventions have been crucial in combating virus transmission, sparking extensive debate on crisis management strategies and emphasizing the necessity for reliable models to inform governmental decisions, particularly at the local level. Leveraging disaggregated socio-demographic microdata, including social determinants, age-specific strata, and mobility patterns, we design a comprehensive network model of Catalonia's population and, through numerical simulation, assess its response to the outbreak of COVID-19 over the two-year period 2020-21. Our findings underscore the critical importance of timely implementation of broad non-pharmaceutical measures and effective vaccination campaigns in curbing virus spread; in addition, the identification of high-risk groups and their corresponding maps of connections within the network paves the way for tailored and more impactful interventions.
Grants:	Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca PANDE00180
Rights:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, i la comunicació pública de l'obra, sempre que no sigui amb finalitats comercials, i sempre que es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. No es permet la creació d'obres derivades.
Language:	Anglès
Document:	Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Subject:	COVID-19 ; Agent-based model ; Disease propagation ; Vaccine ; Catalonia
Published in:	Scientific reports, Vol. 14 (2024) , ISSN 2045-2322

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-83238-1
PMID: 39738339

13 p, 4.1 MB

The record appears in these collections:
Research literature > UAB research groups literature > Research Centres and Groups (research output) > Social and Legal Sciences > Centre for Demographic Studies (CED-CERCA)
Research literature > UAB research groups literature > Research Centres and Groups (research output) > Experimental sciences > Institut de Física d’Altes Energies (IFAE)
Articles > Research articles
Articles > Published articles