Trump, global populism, and international trade : analyzing economic consequences and future implications
Yu, Yin
Turati, Riccardo tut. (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Departament d'Economia Aplicada)
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Facultat de Dret
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Institut d'Estudis Europeus

Date:	2025
Abstract:	This study examines the economic consequences of Donald Trump's populist trade policies, particularly the "America First" agenda, and their global implications during his presidency (2017-2021) and potential second term (2025 onward). Through a mixed-methods approach combining empirical analysis and scenario forecasting, the research assesses the short-term and long-term effects of protectionist measures-such as tariffs, tax cuts, and deregulation-on the United States, the European Union, and China. Findings indicate that while these policies provided temporary relief for certain U. S. industries, they also triggered inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a decline in multilateral trade cooperation. In response, the EU and China shifted from defensive strategies to proactive restructuring, accelerating digital sovereignty, supply chain autonomy, and alternative trade alliances. The study highlights the risks of populist economic policies to global trade stability and underscores the emergence of a multipolar trade governance system.
Rights:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, i la comunicació pública de l'obra, sempre que no sigui amb finalitats comercials, i sempre que es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. No es permet la creació d'obres derivades.
Language:	Anglès
Studies:	Integració Europea [4313791]
Study plan:	Màster Universitari en Integració Europea [1164]
Document:	Treball de fi de postgrau
Subject:	Populism ; America First ; Trade wars ; The United States ; China ; The European Union ; Supply chain realignment ; Economic nationalism

29 p, 999.0 KB

The record appears in these collections:
Research literature > UAB research groups literature > Research Centres and Groups (research output) > Social and Legal Sciences > Institute of European Studies (IEE)
Research literature > Dissertations > Faculty of Law